Data Visualization
Hate by the Numbers
Online extremist communities are multiplying, and so are real-world attacks. Explore data from the Global Terrorism Database to see how documented violent extremist attacks have increased in the U.S., U.K. and Germany1.
The United States, the United Kingdom and Germany are white supremacist hot spots
White supremacist violence, as documented by journalists from over seven million sources, has grown globally over the last decade in Australia, New Zealand, Canada, wider Europe, and South Africa. The frequency and severity of these attacks on the ground in Germany, UK, and US, however, highlights significant trends in both extremist activity and law enforcement since 2010.
- United States of America*
- United Kingdom
- Germany
*This visualization only depicts events that took place inside of the contiguous United States
Exploring the multiple ideologies driving violent extremism
Each extremist ideology depicted here encompasses a variety of theories and tactics for advancing its agenda. In this dataset’s nomenclature, Violent Supremacy Violent Supremacy is a term that encompasses extremist ideologies predicated on the superiority of certain ethnic, racial, or other demographic characteristics. In this analysis of the dataset, the category is predominantly comprised attacks labeled as white supremacist, neo-Nazi, anti-migrant, anti-Muslim and anti-Semitic ideologies. This category also includes a small number of violent attacks by adjacent illiberal ideologies including anti-abortion, anti-LGBT, and male supremacists. All attack and attacker labels categories are designated by the GTD.Source: GTD is an umbrella term for predominantly white supremacist, neo-Nazi, anti-migrant, anti-Muslim, anti-Semitic, and male supremacist ideologies. Islamist extremism Islamist extremism comprises those who endorse violence to impose a global Islamic state and reject liberal values such as democracy, the rule of law and social equality (as defined by the UK Government). In this analysis of the dataset, Islamist extremism applies to attacks labeled as individual Muslim extremists, as well as those affiliated with terrorist groups including the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and 'Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP). All attack and attacker labels are designated by the GTD.Source: GTD describes an array of formal groups and unaffiliated actors who seek to impose a global Islamic state governed by their interpretations of Shari’ah as state law. Anti-government extremism Anti-government extremism encompasses a variety of ideologies with antipathies toward the government. Anti-government grievances are classified as extremist when they endorse violence to achieve changes in governance. In this analysis of the dataset, anti-government extremists include attacks labeled as vigilante militias such as the Sovereign Citizen movement, anarchists, and anti-Police extremists, among others. All attack and attacker labels categories are designated by the GTD.Source: GTD encompasses a variety of ideologies with antipathy toward the government who endorse violence as a corrective measure. The Extreme Left The Extreme Left is a term that encompasses extremist ideologies predicated on the use of violence to disrupt or overthrow conservative or capitalist systems and replace them with Marxist-Leninist, socialist or anarchist societies. In this analysis of the dataset, the term includes attacks labeled as single-issue extremist groups who endorse violent means to advocate against animal abuse, such as the Animal Liberation Front, or against environmental degradation, such as the Earth Liberation Front. All attack and attacker labels are designated by the GTD.Source: GTD primarily comprises those who endorse the use of violence against conservative or capitalist systems in support of animal welfare, environmentalism, socialism or anarchist societies.
Spikes in white supremacist attacks follow major national events
Spikes of violent white supremacy in Germany, the US and the UK followed the Syrian Migrant Crisis, the 2016 presidential election and the EU referendum, respectively. In 2019, there was a sharp increase in deaths from extremists motivated by race and ethnicity. Worldwide, at least 86 people were killed in Australasia, North America, and Western Europe in 2019 by violent supremacists, compared to 52 in 2018. The graphs below capture these lethal attacks, as well as other incidents of political violence such as arson or assault.
- White Supremacy 02
- Islamist extremist 00
- Extreme Left 00
- Anti-gov 00
- Other 01
- White Supremacy 01
- Islamist extremist 00
- Extreme Left 00
- Anti-gov 03
- Other 00
- White Supremacy 00
- Islamist extremist 00
- Extreme Left 01
- Anti-gov 00
- Other 00
- White Supremacy 00
- Islamist extremist 01
- Extreme Left 05
- Anti-gov 02
- Other 00
- White Supremacy 01
- Islamist extremist 01
- Extreme Left 01
- Anti-gov 01
- Other 01
- White Supremacy 00
- Islamist extremist 00
- Extreme Left 00
- Anti-gov 00
- Other 00
- White Supremacy 10
- Islamist extremist 00
- Extreme Left 01
- Anti-gov 01
- Other 01
- White Supremacy 53
- Islamist extremist 02
- Extreme Left 01
- Anti-gov 02
- Other 01
- White Supremacy 23
- Islamist extremist 11
- Extreme Left 00
- Anti-gov 06
- Other 02
- White Supremacy 03
- Islamist extremist 01
- Extreme Left 12
- Anti-gov 08
- Other 03
- White Supremacy 08
- Islamist extremist 03
- Extreme Left 03
- Anti-gov 05
- Other 03
- White Supremacy 09
- Islamist extremist 00
- Extreme Left 02
- Anti-gov 02
- Other 02
- White Supremacy 09
- Islamist extremist 00
- Extreme Left 04
- Anti-gov 01
- Other 04
- White Supremacy 04
- Islamist extremist 04
- Extreme Left 02
- Anti-gov 00
- Other 01
- White Supremacy 01
- Islamist extremist 06
- Extreme Left 04
- Anti-gov 03
- Other 03
- White Supremacy 02
- Islamist extremist 00
- Extreme Left 01
- Anti-gov 04
- Other 03
- White Supremacy 16
- Islamist extremist 01
- Extreme Left 01
- Anti-gov 01
- Other 01
- White Supremacy 06
- Islamist extremist 04
- Extreme Left 00
- Anti-gov 06
- Other 04
- White Supremacy 09
- Islamist extremist 05
- Extreme Left 00
- Anti-gov 11
- Other 04
- White Supremacy 16
- Islamist extremist 06
- Extreme Left 01
- Anti-gov 04
- Other 11
- White Supremacy 16
- Islamist extremist 09
- Extreme Left 04
- Anti-gov 07
- Other 28
- White Supremacy 31
- Islamist extremist 08
- Extreme Left 07
- Anti-gov 07
- Other 10
- White Supremacy 40
- Islamist extremist 02
- Extreme Left 02
- Anti-gov 01
- Other 22
- White Supremacy 33
- Islamist extremist 03
- Extreme Left 07
- Anti-gov 03
- Other 17
- White Supremacy 01
- Islamist extremist 00
- Anti-gov 01
- Other 08
- White Supremacy 01
- Islamist extremist 00
- Anti-gov 00
- Other 01
- White Supremacy 00
- Islamist extremist 02
- Anti-gov 00
- Other 00
- White Supremacy 00
- Islamist extremist 00
- Anti-gov 01
- Other 01
- White Supremacy 00
- Islamist extremist 00
- Anti-gov 03
- Other 05
- White Supremacy 07
- Islamist extremist 01
- Anti-gov 04
- Other 08
- White Supremacy 01
- Islamist extremist 00
- Anti-gov 18
- Other 04
- White Supremacy 00
- Islamist extremist 02
- Anti-gov 00
- Other 09
- White Supremacy 05
- Islamist extremist 03
- Anti-gov 03
- Other 08
- White Supremacy 12
- Islamist extremist 05
- Anti-gov 00
- Other 15
- White Supremacy 10
- Islamist extremist 01
- Anti-gov 00
- Other 04
- White Supremacy 06
- Islamist extremist 01
- Anti-gov 05
- Other 00
- White Supremacy
- Islamist Extremism
- Extreme Left
- Anti-Gov
- Other
Germany
The sharp increase in incidents of violent white supremacy in Germany beginning in 2015 aligns closely with the Syrian Migrant Crisis, as a rapid influx of displaced refugees fled from civil war towards Germany and elsewhere. This spike is primarily attacks on migrants, their homes and their shelters. More recent attacks in Halle, Hanau, and elsewhere were motivated by a mix of anti-semitic, anti-migrant, and conspiratorial motives.
United States of America
The United States experienced a dramatic rise in violent white supremacist attacks following the 2016 presidential election, including a number of high-profile confrontations with law enforcement 2.
Note: a significant proportion of attacks categorized as “other” are arson attacks on churches in the American south, which is a common terrorist tactic by white supremacists against Black communities; however, the motive for each of these attacks is not possible to verify when the attackers are not identified by law enforcement.
United Kingdom
The UK experienced a spike in incidents of violent white supremacy, particularly anti-migrant and anti-Muslim attacks, following the European Union (EU) referendum. Among the many voices advocating for the UK to leave the EU was a small minority on the far right of the political spectrum who promoted xenophobic narratives. Notably, the number of violent events declines after 2017, which is in part due to the proscription of right-wing terrorist groups and increased law enforcement efforts to confront white supremacist extremists.
Note: incidents in Northern Ireland were removed for the purposes of this graph as the majority of political violence that occurred was attributable to localized conflicts and not relevant to this comparative analysis.
Incidents of violent white supremacy often cause fewer casualties, but occur more frequently
When compared to attacks by other extremist movements, violent white supremacy is the most frequently occurring over this period in these regions3. Violent white supremacy and Islamist Extremism, in particular, represent two very different types of threats: violent Islamist attacks have been relatively rare in the West in the last decade, arguably because of greater law enforcement attention, but often result in a high number of casualties. Violent white supremacist attacks have occurred more frequently, but have resulted in fewer casualties on average (with the exception of the Christchurch attack in March 2019)4.
The data points here are increasingly connected. Violent white supremacists cite one another as inspiration in their attack manifestos or, in some cases, corresponded directly online5.
In white supremacist attack manifestos, they glorify one another’s atrocities and see white supremacy as a global movement, hailing “European comrades” and “American patriots” from oceans away67.
These white supremacist attacks are not a series of isolated incidents, but rather an emergent, decentralized movement
Demystifying the problem
Global, Connected and Decentralized
Tracing the communication networks of modern white supremacists reveals their tactics to evade removal and recruit from the mainstream.
References
National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START), University of Maryland. (2019). The Global Terrorism Database TM https://www.start.umd.edu/data-tools/global-terrorism-database-gtd
Farley, R. (2019, March 21). The Facts on White Nationalism. Retrieved 2020, from https://www.factcheck.org/2019/03/the-facts-on-white-nationalism/
U.S. House, The Committee on Foreign Affairs’ Subcommittee on the Middle East, North Africa, and International Terrorism and the Committee on Homeland Security’s Subcommittee on Intelligence and Counterterrorism. (n.d.). Statement of Dr. Cynthia Miller-Idriss Professor of Education and Sociology, American University, Washington, DC Senior Fellow and Director of Outreach, Centre for Analysis of the Radical Right (U.K.) (C. Miller - Idriss, Author) [H.R. Doc.]. https://homeland.house.gov/imo/media/doc/Miller-Testimony.pdf
Ravndal, J. A., & Bjorgo, T. (2018). Investigating Terrorism from the Extreme Right: A Review of Past and Present Research. PERSPECTIVES ON TERRORISM, 12(6), 5-22. https://www.universiteitleiden.nl/binaries/content/assets/customsites/perspectives-on-terrorism/2018/issue-6/a1-ravndal-and-bjorgo.pdf
Cai, W., & Landon, S. (2019, April 03). Attacks by White Extremists Are Growing. So Are Their Connections. Retrieved 2020, from https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/04/03/world/white-extremist-terrorism-christchurch.html
Patrick Crusius Manifesto: The Inconvenient Truth. August 3, 2019. On file with Author.
Brenton Tarrant Manifesto. On file with Author.
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